Over his last 12 rounds on Ross designs, Kirk is third in the field in SG: Total, including ninth in SG: T2G and 18th in SG: Putting. Kirk is a historical wizard on Donald Ross designs, making him a perfect player to buy this week. Best Bet #3 – Chris Kirk Top-30 Finish (+115) Additionally, in his last 12 rounds in which fairways are either “easy” or “average” to hit, Homa sits 11th in the field in birdies or better gained.įor those reasons, back Homa up to +110 for a top-20 finish. Over his last 12 rounds, he’s 27th in the field in good drives gained.
Plus, it’s worth noting that Homa’s driving has improved recently. However, he’s simultaneously seventh on approach, 14th in birdies or better gained, fourth on SG: Par 5’s and eighth on SG: Par 4’s – 350 to 400 yards. In terms of his best statistical output - the 24-round model - Homa does show some concern in that he’s 70th in good drives gained. He’s sixth in the field in my 50-round model, second overall in my 24-round projection and ninth over his last 12 rounds. In terms of his statistical modeling, Homa is steady across the board. But in his last three starts at TPC Scottsdale, Homa owns two top-14 finishes, including a T-6th in 2020. Last year, Homa finished in a tie for 25th two years after he grabbed a T-42nd finish here. Homa doesn’t own the *best* course history in Detroit, but he checks all the boxes as a contender this week. Best Bet #2 – Max Homa Top-20 Finish (+125) Emerging from an off-week after the Open, back Zalatoris up to +170 for a top-10 finish. Over his last 50 qualifying rounds, he’s 23rd in good drives gained, second on approach and third in birdies or better gained.įurther, Zalatoris owns a solid finish at a correlated course - 17th at the Waste Management in 2021 - so his game should fit Detroit Golf Club well. Plus, it’s worth noting that if you consider a broader sample size, Zalatoris’s output improves. Further, he’s 11th in the field in SG: Par 5’s and seventh in the field in SG: Par 4’s – 350 to 400 yards. He’s eighth in SG: Approach, fourth in GIRs gained and third in birdies or better gained. The only major category in which he struggles is good drives gained (58th in the field), but he’s otherwise brilliant in the key metrics. Over the last 24 qualifying rounds, Zalatoris rates out fifth overall in the field. Given his modeling output, I believe it’s more likely we see the former scores. But, a 74-76 finish left him at even par for the tournament. On the first two days of the tournament, the Wake Forest product opened with a 70-68 to enter the weekend at -6. T&C apply Best Bet #1 – Will Zalatoris Top-10 Finish (+190)Īlthough Zalatoris finished 77th in 2021 at this event, there are positives to consider. NY, AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only.
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